Investment Strategy - February 2025

Lost in all the tariff talk is a potential seismic shift in AI power dynamics. China’s DeepSeek produced an OpenAI competitor, DeepSeek-R1, at a fraction of the price......

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Outlook for 2025: Analysts are cautiously optimistic

While he wasn’t invited, Donald Trump still made his presence felt at the Outlook for 2025 conference held in Old Montreal before an audience of one hundred BMO customers......

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Weekly Strategy Perspectives: The Fundamentals are Fine

The Through Line: Although the year is still in its infancy, markets have already been confronted with several volatility-inducing macro surprises. Determining if or how the developments will bend the fundamental arc of industry or economic......

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Tariff Pause: What’s Next? Economics and Markets Impact

Lingering risk of trade tariffs being introduced by the U.S. and Canadian governments has injected uncertainty into the economic and investment outlook, though there may be long-term opportunities despite financial market......

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Global Markets Commentary: Off to a good start – until it wasn’t

January’s positive start to the year is now in jeopardy after the U.S. launched a trade war. Tariffs on China are going ahead, but Canada and Mexico have been given a temporary reprieve. The level of uncertainty remains elevated and headlines......

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Trade war impact: First pass

On February 1, U.S. President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 25% tariff on all non-energy imports from Canada and a 10% tariff on energy imports (effective February 4). In separate executive orders, a 25% tariff was levied on all imports...

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Investment Management - The Tariff Man Strikes Again

The Through Line: Over the weekend, it was announced that U.S. President Donald Trump intended to institute a blanket 25% tariff on all goods imported from Mexico and a similar 25% on all imports from Canada except energy which will be levied at 10%....

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Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Navigating Volatility

The Through Line: Price fluctuations are a normal (if uncomfortable) part of being an investor in public markets. However, there’s a difference between knowing this in our heads and wading through it with churning stomachs. Understanding volatility a...

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Weekly Strategy Perspectives: Tariff-ied

The Through Line: Markets were pleasantly surprised that incoming President Donald Trump did not include overt tariff actions among the many executive orders signed on his first day in office......

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2025 Market Outlook: Cautious Optimism Amid Uncertainty

Hold onto your hats. Amid the ongoing political upheaval in Ottawa and Washington, and amped up by the looming threat of tariffs, don’t be surprised if economists write their forecasts in pencil this year. Still, one of BMO’s leading economists......

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